Wimbledon: Prediction for who will win Jabeur versus Vondrousova

(Photo by SEBASTIEN BOZON / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE (Photo by SEBASTIEN BOZON/AFP via Getty Images)
(Photo by SEBASTIEN BOZON / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE (Photo by SEBASTIEN BOZON/AFP via Getty Images) /
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Get your popcorn ready early, folks. The Wimbledon women’s final between sixth-seeded Ons Jabeur and unseeded Marketa Vondrousova should be highly entertaining and could go on for quite some time. Both have different styles of play and both could dominate the match. This means it should be fairly even.

In fact, these players have played six times and they have split the matches. While Jabeur has always been the higher-seeded of the two players in any tournament they’ve played and Jabeur has been on the better run over the last few years, Vondrousova has beaten Jabeur both times they have matched up in 2023. This includes in the Round of 64 at the Australian Open. Jabeur had won the previous three matches prior to 2023.

Jabeur is in her second straight Wimbledon final but lost last year in three sets to Elina Rybakina. She hasn’t won a Grand Slam yet but this is her third final in a calendar year. One would think she is due for a victory. If she wins, Jabeur will become the first African woman to win a major.

Prediction for who wins the 2023 Wimbledon women’s final

Vondrousova seems like she has been around for a long time but she is only 24 years old. She made the final of the French Open in 2019 but has struggled with inconsistency over the last several years. She’s capable of being great and has been mostly that in the Wimbledon fortnight, but if she’s the slightest bit off, Jabeur will pounce.

Both players will use an arsenal of weapons, including excellent drop shots, slices, and strong groundstrokes. Vondrousova has the better serve when she’s on. She is also a lefty so her angles, if she strikes the ball well, can give any player issues.

I don’t really buy into the narrative that Ons Jabeur is due to win just because she’s been to recent finals. That implies Vondrousova isn’t as worthy as Jabeur for the Wimbledon title and that’s simply not true. But I do see Jabeur winning simply because she has the more consistent game when it comes to her forehand and backhand.

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Winner: Jabeur in three sets