Wimbledon: Predictions for who wins the men’s semifinals

The men’s semifinals at Wimbledon are shaping up to be classics. There are a couple of great young players and arguably the best player of all time. Oh, and Daniil Medvedev who has already won a Grand Slam is in the mix as well.

I also like that one semifinal doesn’t feature Carlos Alcaraz versus Jannik Sinner and then the other semi has Novak Djokovic and Medvedev. Instead, we get the two excellent young guys, Alcaraz and Sinner, split up. This potentially sets up several great storylines for the finals on Sunday.

We could have Medvedev against Djokovic in the finals and Medvedev has already beaten Djokovic in a Grand Slam final, the US Open in 2021. Or possibly Alcaraz against Djokovic in a battle for the number one ranking on the ATP tour and possibly a proverbial changing of the guard long-term atop men’s tennis (if Alcaraz wins). Even the 20-year-old Alcaraz versus the 21-year-old Sinner would be fantastic and could portend meetings between the two players in many future Grand Slam finals.

But who is going to win in the Wimbledon semifinals? Here are my guesses.

Predictions for the men’s semifinals at Wimbledon 2023

Carlos Alcaraz versus Daniil Medvedev

Neither of these two players will have any fear on Friday. Both have already won a US Open title. Both haven’t always been great on grass, but both players have won a previous tournament on the surface. This could be a match with long rallies and both players will challenge the other by hitting balls at extreme angles.

This is actually the second match of the day on Friday and that is a good thing as I expect this match to go longer than Djokovic and Sinner. It will come down to which player has the more consistent first serve and that tends to be Alcaraz.

Winner: Alcaraz in four sets

Novak Djokovic versus Jannik Sinner

Sinner is a streaky player so far early in his career. He can go through a couple of tournaments as if he will never lose, but then he struggles with his serve consistency. Of course, clearly, he is playing well right now as he has made it to the semifinals. That makes him dangerous for Djokovic, especially as Sinner has the versatile game to give the Serbian issues.

All that said, if Djokovic comes out sharp and plays at his top level, he will win just as he would be maybe anyone else that’s ever played the game. But Djokovic can’t be broken too many times and has to keep his forehand clean. Sinner lost to Djokovic in the quarterfinals at Wimbledon last year, but Sinner also won the first two sets so Sinner will be playing with some level of confidence.

Winner: Djokovic in four sets