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Novak Djokovic's Wimbledon draw is his worst nightmare

No realistic path.
Novak Djokovic at a change of ends during a match
Novak Djokovic at a change of ends during a match | Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Sorry, Novak Djokovic fans. He isn’t getting his 25th major title at this year’s Wimbledon, which gets underway June 29. The Serbian great didn’t get the draw he needed to have a realistic chance to claim his eighth title at the All-England Club.

Djokovic, the No. 7 seed, landed in the same half of the draw as top-ranked defending champion Jannik Sinner. To win the title, Djokovic likely would have to beat Sinner in a semifinal and then turn around and win the final, all in a span of three days. That’s a tall order for a 39-year-old.

There’s no guarantee Djokovic will get that far. He could face Joao Fonseca, who knocked him out of the recent French Open, in the round of 16. After that, the likely opponent would be No. 3 seed Felix-Auger Aliassime

Who got the best and worst draws for Wimbledon 2026?

Best draw

No. 10 seed Alexander Bublik has shown skills on grass in the past and got the draw he needs to make an extended run at the All-England Club. He got the best draw in the field, based on the average world ranking of likely opponents. He won’t face anyone in the top 100 in his first two matches.

The top seeds in his quarter of the draw are No. 6 seed Taylor Fritz and No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev – respectable opponents, but not Sinner and Djokovic.

Toughest draws for top seeds

Statistically, recent French Open finalist and No. 9 seed Flavio Cobolli got the worst draw for a top 10 player. His first-round opponent, No. 38 Mariano Navone, just missed earning a seed himself. Coboll has shown signs of struggling to make the transition from clay to grass.

Stats aside, Fritz got the worst draw for a top seed. On paper, he’s facing the No. 160 player in the world in the first round. In reality, that player is Jack Draper, who has been ranked as high as No. 4 and has only slipped in the rankings because of injury. If Draper is reasonably healthy, Fritz has his hands full in Round 1.

Best opportunity for an unseeded player

Look for a surprise to emerge from the first section of the lower half of the draw, where No. 6 Alex de Minaur and No. 9 Cobolli - neither known for grass court excellence - are the top seeds. There’s a huge opportunity for huge-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, whose huge serve should translate well at Wimbledon.

Worst draw

Conversely, there isn’t much of an opportunity for former top 10 player Pablo Carreno Busta. His potential Wimbledon path is one of the five toughest based on the average world ranking of likely opponents. It starts with a first-round match against Denis Shapovalov, another former top-10 player.

If he got through Round 1, he’d face either rising star Rafael Jodar or home country favorite Felix Gill. If he somehow got through three matches, Sinner would be waiting in the Round of 16.

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